The Value of Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) conference: confirmed speakers and suppliers announced
Posted by APM on 23rd Dec 2015
The APM Risk Management SIG Annual Conference 2016 will take place on Thursday 11th February in London.
With a theme of The Value of Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) we are excited to announce the following speakers and suppliers are already confirmed.
Dr David Hillson, HonFAPM PMI-Fellow FIRM CMgr FCMI
Known globally as The Risk Doctor, David Hillson is an award-winning thought-leader and expert practitioner who speaks and writes widely on risk management, with ten major books on the topic. David leads The Risk Doctor Partnership (www.risk-doctor.com), a global consultancy offering specialist risk services across the world.
David has been active in the Association for Project Management (APM) for many years, where his significant contributions to the risk discipline were recognised with an Honorary Fellowship in 2008. He is also an honorary Fellow of the Project Management Institute (PMI), where he is a recognised thought-leader in risk.
In recent years David has specialised in strategic risk management, with a focus on risk culture, risk appetite and risk attitudes. His speaking career has taken him to nearly 50 countries, offering practical insights that are driven by his motto: “Understand profoundly so you can explain simply.”
David T. Hulett, Ph.D. FAACE
David Hulett is recognized as a leader in developing concepts and methods for quantitative project cost and schedule risk analysis and for practicing them on large commercial and government projects since 1990. Clients of H&A are in the US, Canada, South America, Asia, Europe and the Middle East. Dr. Hulett was admitted as a Fellow of AACE International in 2015.
Dr. Hulett led the 2000 revision of the risk management chapter of PMI’s PMBOK® Guide and Practice Standard for Project Risk. For AACE International he has authored Recommended Practices on Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis and on Use of Decision Trees in Decision Making, Dr. Hulett authored Practical Schedule Risk Analysis and Integrated Cost- Schedule Risk Analysis.
Dr. Hulett has worked in energy and aerospace. He managed offices in the US DOE and US OMB. Dr. Hulett was an Instructor in the Economics Department at Harvard University. He earned a Ph.D. in Economics from Stanford University and a B.A. from Princeton University.
Egan Naidoo is a risk management practitioner with many years’ experience in implementing and enabling risk processes and systems. He has applied his know in many industries including banking, construction, shipping, Customs and Excise and now with a public utility. His current role is that of Chief Risk Advisor working in the projects environment of an African Utility. He is also an member of IRMSA and has been recently invited to join a small select group of project risk management practitioners within the Primavera community.
He currently heads up the risk management strategy and capability development within the dynamic project environment. Egan has been the lead risk systems evaluator on risk tools such as ICRAS, CURA, PRISM RISK and most recently the Primavera P6 Risk Register and Primavera Risk Analysis.
As a fairly recent adopter of the quantitative risk analysis capability, he has initiated his maturity journey by helping to establish the QRA capability and is in the process of rolling out the associated processes and systems throughout the project environment of this African Utility.
Egan, a PhD candidate, is in the process of completing his thesis researching the relationship between project complexity, risk management maturity and competency within the project risk management environment.
Roger Garrini has worked in the defence industry for 40 years, firstly as a Project Manager and later in developing and implementing project and risk management governance and toolsets. He is currently the UK IPR Manager but retains leasdership of the Predict implementation in the UK. As part of this he advises projects on the use of Quantitative Risk Analysis in bids to support the generation of contingency values and schedule risk analysis and action.
During a period as an internal auditor with its emphasis on risk and governance, he joined the Governance SIG to enhance his understanding of how the Board viewpoint of project management values risk management He now contributes to the Governance SIG committee and is leading the publication of the new Directing Agile Change Guide.
Simon is a risk management consultant with over 20 years’ experience in helping organisations to understand and manage risk to their projects’ schedule and cost.
He has worked in a wide variety of industries and major projects, and spent two years as UK Risk Analyst for ConocoPhillips, before which he was Senior Consultant and trainer for Pertmaster, Primavera and Oracle.
Simon is recognised as one of the leading practitioners of risk management and analysis, and strives for clarity and pragmatism in his work. He uses methods that allow probabilistic models to be interrogated and understood by project teams and senior management, which helps ensure that risk assessments are reasonable representations of reality, and that they add value by setting and justifying reasonable expectation and positive management action.
Simon has also designed and built commercial risk software (including as a contributing architect to Primavera Risk Analysis / Pertmaster), and continues to develop tools for more practical valuable project and business risk management.
Val Jonas, Managing Director, Risk Decisions Group
Val Jonas is a highly experienced risk management expert, with extensive experience of training, facilitating and implementing project, programme and strategic risk management systems for companies in a wide range of industries in the UK, Europe, USA, Canada and Australia.
With 28 years experience in risk management and analysis, working with large organisations, Val has a wealth of practical experience and vision on how organisations can improve project and business performance through their risk management strategic framework and good practice.
Val played a major part in the design and development of the leading Risk Management and Analysis software product Predict!. More recently, she has pioneered Governance and Risk Management Master Class sessions for senior management in industry and government and has been a keen and active participant in forging the interfacing of Risk and Earned Value Management, including speaking at international conferences on these topics.
An active contributor to global risk management guidance, she has been a member of the APM PRAM guide and Risk and Earned Value working groups, US NDIA joint working group on Risk & Earned Value, UK Office of Government Commerce review panel (Management of Risk guide), PMI Global Performance Management Advisory Committee and PMI Risk Practice Standard chapter coordinator.
Val has a joint honours BA in Mathematics and Computing from Oxford University.
The following Suppliers of QRA software are also confirmed:
Barbecana – Full Monte 2016: Schedule risk analysis software
Booz Allen Hamilton – PolarisTM: Simulation software for next-generation integrated cost and schedule analysis and advanced risk prioitization
Deltek Acumen: Proven analytics for schedules you can believe in
Oracle – Primavera Risk Analysis: Integrated cost and schedule risk analysis software
Palisade - @Risk and the DecisionTools Suite: Comprehensive risk and decision analysis
Risk Decisions – Predict! Risk Analysis: Integrated schedule and cost risk analysis software
Safran Software Solutions: A new and innovative approach to Risk Analysis and Reporting
Sword Active Risk – Active Risk Manager (ARM): Integrated risk management solutions
Trigo White – White Box: Practical, defendable, valuable risk analysis
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We make risk assessments every day, and generally we do them well. Most of us look both ways before looking the road, and in the same way most of us will survey a site before we allow our projects to start digging.