Scenario planning: Mindful foresight beyond the risk horizon webinar

Save for later




Preparing for projects in a Post-Pandemic World webinar series



As project managers, we tend to treat projects with a strongly ‘mechanistic’ approach: the work can be broken down, executed and controlled as a series of interlocking parts. This is the technical, engineering-based conceptualisation, derived from the roots of the subject. While acknowledging the many benefits of this view, mindful project management ventures beyond this mechanistic approach, into the unknown and the unexpected. This webinar presented on Friday 15 May 2020 critically reviewed the key practices of risk management and scenario planning, and their suitability to take us to and beyond the risk horizon.


Dr. Elmar Kutsch

Being uncomfortable is both a challenge and an opportunity for Elmar. As a passionate skydiver his interests, both privately and professionally, revolve around management of the unexpected. Elmar's first real exposure to the rather paradoxical world of uncertainty began in 1998. Working for one of the biggest IT service providers in Germany, Elmar was responsible for the successful delivery of a number of large projects, including major roll-out and outsourcing strategies. His passion for the management of risk and uncertainty in projects then led him to pursue a career in academia. He served as a Lecturer in Operations Management at the University of Surrey and has been at Cranfield since 2007.

In 2017, he received the Cranfield SOM Teaching and Learning Faculty award for excellence in researching, developing, delivering and publishing impactful case studies. He is a visiting Professor at IéSEG (France), and publishes widely on aspects of Risk Management, Resilience and High Reliability Organisations.


Merv Wyeth is UK Service Delivery Partner of Amplify Strategy Execution Software for benefits-led portfolio management.

Previously, during a 25-year police service career, Merv performed a mix of operational and support roles, including PPM and business change and developed his passion for benefits management.He is a Better Business Case, Open Strategies and Managing Benefits practitioner.

Merv is Secretary and communications lead to Association for Project Management Benefits and Value Specific Interest Group, and a fellow of APM. He is a co-facilitator on the Government Project Delivery Community Network (GovPDC) and the lead for PMI UK Digital Events Team.


Jonathan Norman has 30 years’ experience of creating, curating and sharing knowledge around all aspects of project management. At Gower Publishing he commissioned and developed books, games and training resources on the subject and was responsible for the launch of the GPMFirst project community around Gower’s published content.

Since 2017, Jonathan has managed the Major Projects Knowledge Hub on behalf of the Major Projects Association and facilitates a wide range of events and activities around the knowledge repository and community of practice it supports.


This webinar is suitable for professionals with an advanced level of experience.

Elmar has very kindly allowed his presented material to be made available for viewing.
The slides on Slideshare and the webinar recording on YouTube is now available in our APM resources area and also embedded below for reference.

The audience engaged during the webinar using Mentimeter presentation software and their responses are available to view.





APM Body of Knowledge 7th edition reference

Section Description


Risk management


Posted on 15th May 2020
Comments on this site are moderated. Please allow up to 24 hours for your comment to be published on this site. Thank you for adding your comment.

{{item.AuthorName}} {{item.AuthorName}} says on {{item.DateFormattedString}}:

Join APM

Sign up to the APM Newsletter.